Survivorship Bias: Explained with Examples

Cognitive bias

Forgetting about all the people who tried and failed

What it is

Only seeing the successes and ignoring all the failures

Example

Thinking dropping out of college is smart because Bill Gates did it (ignoring millions who dropped out and struggled)

A scenario

Emma reads about successful entrepreneurs who started businesses at 16. She thinks dropping out of high school is a good idea.

How to avoid it

Ask: What about all the people who tried this and failed?

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